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PNW Project Overview 2000

Understanding the Risk of Nest Predation to Marbled Murrelets in Managed Landscapes

Principal Investigator:  
Dr. John Marzluff, University of Washington, College of Forest Resources

Awarded: $24,890

Project Description:
The temperate rainforests of western North America, specifically those along the coasts of Washington, Oregon, and northern California, provide critical habitat for a variety of species.  They also support a major human socio-economic base of the region:  timber harvest.  Conflict between the needs of humans and the needs of wildlife are inevitable and complex.  This project is designed to determine if increasing the amount of even-aged, 10-80 year old forest in the landscape reduces predation in remaining uneven aged, older forest (that is used by murrelets for nesting).  This project is also trying to determine how the risk of predation and likelihood of nesting overlap in forested landscapes of varying structural complexity, proximity to human activity and fragmentation.


Project Status:


Progress Report:
Ten stands have been selected on the Olympic National Forest and adjacent state and private timber lands that are of complex to very complex structure imbedded in landscapes dominated by forests of simple structure.  This research will compare the rate of predation in these new stands to the rate of predation at existing complex and very complex stands imbedded in landscapes dominated by forests of complex to very complex structure on the Olympic National Forest and inside Olympic National Park.  Comparing rates of predation between the two types of sites will allow researchers to determine if murrelet productivity in stands with abundant nest sties (complex and very complex forests) can be enhanced by simplifying the structure of the surrounding landscape. 

Researchers will integrate their assessment of the risk of nest predation with assessments of nest site availability and murrelet occupancy across the Olympic Peninsula.  Current data allow the use of stand and landscape level measurement of vegetation, recreation sites, and human settlements from 49 locations on the north and west sides of the Olympic Peninsula.  Dr. Marzluff has developed an equation relating predation to stand and landscape attributes and is currently applying that equation to the entire Olympic Peninsula using a GIS moving window procedure.  A resulting map of predation risk will delineate areas that might act as sinks or sources for murrelets.  This will then be combined with the likelihood of murrelet nesting.  (Collaborators at the Washington Department of Natural Resources, National Park Service, Rayonier, and US Forest Service have produced preliminary models that predict murrelet occupancy.)  The final product anticipated from this project is a map of the Olympic Peninsula that shows conditions where nesting is likely to be frequent and successful, frequent but unsuccessful, rare but unsuccessful, and rare and unsuccessful.


 
uw    cfr   cofs Updated August 28, 2001 o n r c

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